NFLAnalysisMarkets frozen

Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Kickoff Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM EDT · Final

Closing market snapshot

Source: Fanduel · Odds updated Sep 13, 12:10 PM EDT · Pregame market frozen

Spread

PIT -6.5

Open PIT -3.0 → Latest -6.5

Range PIT -6.5 – -3.0

Total

40.5

Open 42.5 → Latest 40.5

Moneyline

ATL+245

Open +142

PIT-300

Open -168

Market takeaway

Earlier analysis · Sep 12, 7:17 PM EDT. Prices have changed since this was written.

View earlier analysis

Pittsburgh drew the strongest pregame movement. The Steelers moved from -3 to -5.5 on the spread and from -168 to -290 on the moneyline, while Atlanta moved from +142 to +235. The total moved the other direction, falling from 42.5 to 40.5 and finishing at its observed low.

AI-generated SportSimulate analysis · Sep 12, 7:17 PM EDT · Based on earlier market data

Current prices and live watch conditions are shown separately above and below — do not treat earlier thresholds as current instructions.

Pregame market history

Observed prices from the tracked sportsbook.

Continue on the live chart

Open PIT -3.0 · Aug 30, 1:01 PM

Latest PIT -6.5 · Sep 13, 12:10 PM

-7.0-4.8-2.5Aug 30, 1:01 PMSep 10, 3:08 PMSep 13, 12:10 PM

29 observations · Fanduel. Select an observation below, or hover a point.

Live strategy watchlist

Live watch conditions — not pregame picks. These levels are locked for this game.

  • Spread Mean Reversion

    LockedGame complete
    • If live spread reaches Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 or higher → back Pittsburgh Steelers

    Watch for the locked pregame favorite becoming materially cheaper relative to the locked baseline.

    Locked Sep 13, 12:31 PM EDT

  • Total Mean Reversion

    LockedGame complete
    • UNDER 54.5 if the total rises.
    • OVER 26.5 if the total falls.

    Fade sufficiently large movement away from the locked total (up → UNDER, down → OVER).

    Locked Sep 13, 12:31 PM EDT

Postgame

Final: ATL 13 – PIT 20

PRIMARY strategy results

  • Spread Mean Reversion: No Trigger
  • Total Mean Reversion: No Trigger
  • Total Mean Reversion: No Trigger

AI analysis has not been generated yet. Current market and strategy facts remain available.