NFLAnalysisMarkets frozen

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders

Kickoff Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM EDT · Final

Closing market snapshot

Source: Fanduel · Odds updated Sep 13, 4:27 PM EDT · Pregame market frozen

Spread

LV -3.5

Open LV -3.5 · Unchanged

Range LV -3.5 – -3.0

Total

40.5

Open 39.5 → Latest 40.5

Moneyline

MIA+140

Open +162

LV-180

Open -194

Market takeaway

Earlier analysis · Sep 12, 7:20 PM EDT. Prices have changed since this was written.

View earlier analysis

Pregame movement favored Miami. Las Vegas moved from -3.5 to -3 on the spread and from -194 to -164 on the moneyline, while Miami shortened from +162 to +138. The total showed limited two-way movement, opening and closing at 39.5 after reaching 40.5.

AI-generated SportSimulate analysis · Sep 12, 7:20 PM EDT · Based on earlier market data

Current prices and live watch conditions are shown separately above and below — do not treat earlier thresholds as current instructions.

Pregame market history

Observed prices from the tracked sportsbook.

Continue on the live chart

Open LV -3.5 · Aug 30, 4:25 PM

Latest LV -3.5 · Sep 13, 4:27 PM

-3.8-3.3-2.8Aug 30, 4:25 PMSep 8, 10:55 PMSep 13, 4:27 PM

22 observations · Fanduel. Select an observation below, or hover a point.

Live strategy watchlist

Live watch conditions — not pregame picks. These levels are locked for this game.

  • Spread Mean Reversion

    LockedGame complete
    • If live spread reaches Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 or higher → back Las Vegas Raiders

    Watch for the locked pregame favorite becoming materially cheaper relative to the locked baseline.

    Locked Sep 13, 3:55 PM EDT

  • Total Mean Reversion

    LockedGame complete
    • UNDER 54.5 if the total rises.
    • OVER 26.5 if the total falls.

    Fade sufficiently large movement away from the locked total (up → UNDER, down → OVER).

    Locked Sep 13, 3:55 PM EDT

Postgame

Final: MIA 13 – LV 27

PRIMARY strategy results

  • Spread Mean Reversion: No Trigger
  • Total Mean Reversion: WIN @ 54.5
  • Total Mean Reversion: No Trigger

AI analysis has not been generated yet. Current market and strategy facts remain available.