Final
Final
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
6 – 28
LAR -22.5 —Total 34.5 —
Biggest swing↓ 18.0(Pregame → Q4 7:30)
Spread
Current: -22.5Open: -6.5Final Result: -22.0
NFLFinal
Final Score
NYG6—LAR28
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams · Sep 21, 2026
Final + Pregame Result
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread LAR perspective (home / pregame favorite) | LAR -6.5 | LAR -6.5 | LAR -24.5 | Los Angeles Rams covered |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 34.5 | Under |
Betting Story
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Spread
Los Angeles Rams won, Los Angeles Rams covered. Los Angeles Rams entered as a 6.5-point favorite but won by only 22. The LAR live spread ranged from -24.5 to -6.5. Across tracked live market time, NYG was on the eventual covering side for 12%, while LAR was on the covering side for 88%.
Total
The game played to the Under. The pregame total was 47.5 and the teams combined for 34. The live total ranged from 34.5 to 47.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Under result for 100% of tracked time.
Moneyline
Moneyline implied probabilities moved during the game. LAR entered at 75.0% implied probability, reached a low of 74.4%, and a high of 99.9%. NYG entered at 29.0%, reached a high of 31.7%, and a low of 1.0%. Los Angeles Rams ultimately won.
Cover Window
Los Angeles
88%
New York
12%
Push
0%
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Los Angeles cover, New York cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Total Window
Over
0%
Under
100%
Push
0%
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Strategy Results
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
2 strategies qualified · 2 triggered · 0-2
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big-Favorite Inflation Fade | Yes | Yes | +11.5 | LOSS |
| Low-Total Favorite Buyback | No | — | — | — |
| Low-Total Scoring Spike UNDER | No | — | — | — |
| Strong-Favorite Total Compression OVER | Yes | Yes | 39.5 | LOSS |
Market Overreaction Analysis
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Static Market Charts
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Drive Summary
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Data Limitations
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
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Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
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