Final
Final
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
27 – 33
CIN -6.5 —Total 62.5 —
Biggest swing↓ 14.0(Pregame → Q2 7:30)
Spread
Current: -6.5Open: -3.5Final Result: -6.0
TB27—CIN33
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread CIN perspective (home / pregame favorite) | CIN -3.5 | CIN -3.5 | CIN -18.5 | Cincinnati Bengals covered |
| Total | 50.5 | 63.5 | 50.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Cincinnati Bengals won, Cincinnati Bengals covered. Cincinnati Bengals entered as a 3.5-point favorite but won by only 6. The CIN live spread ranged from -18.5 to -3.5. Across tracked live market time, TB was on the eventual covering side for 87%, while CIN was on the covering side for 13%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 50.5 and the teams combined for 60. The live total ranged from 50.5 to 63.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 71% of tracked time.
Moneyline implied probabilities moved during the game. CIN entered at 65.5% implied probability, reached a low of 83.3%, and a high of 99.5%. TB entered at 38.5%, reached a high of 22.7%, and a low of 4.8%. Cincinnati Bengals ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Cincinnati cover, Tampa Bay cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay