Final
Final
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions
30 – 31
DET -6.5 —Total 41.5 —
Biggest swing↑ 17.0(Q3 10:00 → Q4 10:00)
Spread
Current: -6.5Open: -7.0Final Result: -1.0
NO30—DET31
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread DET perspective (home / pregame favorite) | DET -7.0 | DET -3.5 | DET -21.5 | New Orleans Saints covered |
| Total | 50.0 | 50.0 | 30.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Detroit Lions won, New Orleans Saints covered. Detroit Lions entered as a 7.0-point favorite but won by only 1. The DET live spread ranged from -21.5 to -3.5. Across tracked live market time, NO was on the eventual covering side for 100%, while DET was on the covering side for 0%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 50.0 and the teams combined for 61. The live total ranged from 30.5 to 50.0. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 100% of tracked time.
Moneyline implied probabilities moved during the game. DET entered at 76.5% implied probability, reached a low of 61.5%, and a high of 99.0%. NO entered at 27.0%, reached a high of 44.4%, and a low of 2.9%. Detroit Lions ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Detroit cover, New Orleans cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay