Final
Final
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts
41 – 23
IND +18.5 —Total 64.5 —
Biggest swing↑ 20.5(Pregame → Q2 5:00)
Spread
Current: 18.5Open: 3.0Final Result: 18.0
BAL41—IND23
Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread BAL perspective (away / pregame favorite) | BAL -3.0 | BAL -3.0 | BAL -23.5 | Baltimore Ravens covered |
| Total | 48.5 | 69.5 | 48.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Baltimore Ravens won, Baltimore Ravens covered. Baltimore Ravens entered as a 3.0-point favorite but won by only 18. The IND live spread ranged from -23.5 to -3.0. Across tracked live market time, BAL was on the eventual covering side for 79%, while IND was on the covering side for 21%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 48.5 and the teams combined for 64. The live total ranged from 48.5 to 69.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 58% of tracked time.
The game became competitive in implied win probability. IND entered at 42.4% implied probability, reached a low of 1.0%, and a high of 23.3%. BAL entered at 61.8%, reached a high of 99.9%, and a low of 82.8%. Baltimore Ravens ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Indianapolis cover, Baltimore cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay