ARI26—LAC14
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread LAC perspective (home / pregame favorite) | LAC -8.5 | LAC +12.5 | LAC -10.5 | Arizona Cardinals covered |
| Total | 47.5 | 53.5 | 39.5 | Under |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
Arizona Cardinals won, Arizona Cardinals covered. Los Angeles Chargers entered as a 8.5-point favorite. The LAC live spread ranged from -10.5 to +12.5. Across tracked live market time, ARI was on the eventual covering side for 96%, while LAC was on the covering side for 4%.
The game played to the Under. The pregame total was 47.5 and the teams combined for 40. The live total ranged from 39.5 to 53.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Under result for 96% of tracked time.
The game became competitive in implied win probability. LAC entered at 83.6% implied probability, reached a low of 2.4%, and a high of 81.8%. ARI entered at 22.3%, reached a high of 99.0%, and a low of 23.8%. Arizona Cardinals ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a Los Angeles cover, Arizona cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay