DAL20—NYG28
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants · Sep 13, 2026
What happened relative to the locked Pregame baseline (bucket −1 CLOSE)?
| Market | Pregame | In-game Hi | In-game Lo | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread DAL perspective (away / pregame favorite) | DAL -3.0 | DAL +10.5 | DAL -3.5 | New York Giants covered |
| Total | 47.5 | 51.5 | 38.5 | Over |
How the spread, total, and moneyline markets behaved.
New York Giants won, New York Giants covered. Dallas Cowboys entered as a 3.0-point favorite. The NYG live spread ranged from -3.5 to +10.5. Across tracked live market time, DAL was on the eventual covering side for 4%, while NYG was on the covering side for 96%.
The game played to the Over. The pregame total was 47.5 and the teams combined for 48. The live total ranged from 38.5 to 51.5. The prevailing live number ultimately produced an Over result for 79% of tracked time.
The game became competitive in implied win probability. NYG entered at 41.7% implied probability, reached a low of 46.7%, and a high of 99.8%. DAL entered at 62.4%, reached a high of 59.3%, and a low of 3.2%. New York Giants ultimately won.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing spread would ultimately have resulted in a New York cover, Dallas cover, or push against the final scoring margin.
Percentage of tracked in-game time where an entry at the prevailing total would ultimately have resulted in an Over, Under, or Push against the final combined score.
Current NFL Beta strategies — qualification, trigger, and stored result.
0 strategies qualified · 0 triggered
| Strategy | Qualified | Triggered | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_big_favorite_inflation_fade | No | — | — | — |
| spread_low_total_favorite_buyback | No | — | — | — |
| total_low_total_scoring_spike_under | No | — | — | — |
| total_strong_favorite_compression_over | No | — | — | — |
Where the live market may have moved farther than the available game evidence justified.
No high-confidence market overreaction identified from the currently available game evidence.
Frozen Live-style market view. Interactive replay lives on Live.
Open Live for scrubbing, strategy overlays, and Writer Notes.
Completed possessions with drive grades and market during drive.
Drive data unavailable.
Detailed play-by-play was unavailable. Turnover, red-zone and drive-quality conclusions were not generated.
Scrub the full Spread, Total, and Moneyline charts with game events and strategy markers.
Open Live Replay